Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #14
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
West Noble Regional Rank #2
Northrop Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 13th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 1.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 21.1%
Advance to State Finals 97.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
13  David Ehlers 12 15:55
24  Noah Steffen 11 16:07
84  Jacob Panning 12 16:33
336  Ben Strasen 12 17:17
392  Alex Amaro 11 17:23
475  Nathaniel Witmer 11 17:31
486  Matthew Ruppert 10 17:33
647  Noah Sheaffer 12 17:45
716  Jack Adair 12 17:51
Ethan Dillman 11 18:05
Kyle Thompson 9 18:49
DateRace Rating
08/22 Huntington Invitational 365
08/29 DeKalb Classic 375
09/12 Bruin Invitational 478
09/19 New Prairie Invitational 420
09/26 Culver Invitational 321
10/03 Summit Athletic Conference 303
10/10 Northrop Sectional 315
10/17 West Noble Regional 327
10/24 New Haven Semi-State 329
10/31 State Finals 290
11/15 NXN Midwest Regional




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 97.0% 12.9 337 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.4 3.1 5.4 7.5 9.5 11.4 12.8 11.8 10.7 8.5 5.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 99.6% 2.8 132 7.1 50.4 20.0 10.3 6.0 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100.0% 2.3 88 8.8 65.6 18.8 5.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.1 64 6.5 80.0 12.4 1.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Ehlers 100.0% 14.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.3 5.1 5.2 5.6 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.8 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.2 2.7 2.8 2.3 2.0 1.9 99.3% 100.0%
Noah Steffen 99.3% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.7 3.1 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.8 77.9% 98.4%
Jacob Panning 97.0% 82.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3% 49.8%
Ben Strasen 97.0% 166.3 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Amaro 97.0% 175.6 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Witmer 97.0% 185.0 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Ruppert 97.0% 186.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Ehlers 100% 4.5 0.6 3.6 14.4 20.9 20.3 14.9 9.3 6.3 3.6 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Noah Steffen 100% 7.9 0.2 1.1 3.5 8.1 12.1 13.7 12.9 10.6 9.0 7.1 5.7 4.3 3.7 2.4 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Panning 99.8% 19.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.2 3.3 3.5 4.4 5.6 5.5 6.2 6.1 5.5 5.9 5.4 4.9 4.5 3.6 3.6 40.5% 98.1%
Ben Strasen 99.6% 67.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 8.0%
Alex Amaro 99.6% 78.8 0.0 0.0 0.0% 2.8%
Nathaniel Witmer 99.6% 93.1 0.0% 0.5%
Matthew Ruppert 99.6% 95.0 0.0% 0.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Ehlers 100% 2.5 1.4 26.2 46.6 14.4 5.8 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Noah Steffen 100% 4.4 0.1 1.6 10.0 31.3 18.4 13.2 8.8 6.2 4.2 2.5 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Panning 100% 12.3 0.1 1.6 2.7 4.0 5.8 6.7 8.1 9.2 9.1 9.1 7.6 7.0 5.6 4.8 3.8 3.1 2.9 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.0 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Ben Strasen 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 100.0% 100.0%
Alex Amaro 100.0% 42.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 50.0% 99.8%
Nathaniel Witmer 100.0% 48.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0% 98.8%
Matthew Ruppert 100.0% 49.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0% 98.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Ehlers 2.4 1.6 26.5 48.8 15.8 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Noah Steffen 4.0 0.0 1.5 10.9 39.3 22.9 14.8 7.9 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Jacob Panning 8.1 0.1 2.8 6.8 14.2 24.7 19.0 10.8 7.3 4.8 3.5 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0
Ben Strasen 22.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 3.2 4.2 5.5 7.2 7.6 8.5 9.0 8.6 7.7 7.3
Alex Amaro 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.3 4.7 5.7 6.6 6.8 7.7 7.6
Nathaniel Witmer 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.7 3.4 3.8 4.9
Matthew Ruppert 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.1 3.1 3.9 4.5